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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.60+2.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.31vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+0.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.74-2.66vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.37+0.01vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.07-3.14vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
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5.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.61Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.34Northeastern University0.740.2%1st Place
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7.01Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.86Salve Regina University-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 32.1% | 25.9% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 2.6% |
| Greta Shuster | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 6.2% |
| Oliver Dietter | 18.6% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 36.8% | 19.5% |
| Sean Crandall | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 15.7% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.