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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island-0.86+4.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.22vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.72+2.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.90+1.25vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.76+1.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07+0.45vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.30-3.86vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.59-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26University of Rhode Island-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.2%1st Place
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5.02Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.25Salve Regina University-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.74Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.27Northeastern University0.120.2%1st Place
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7.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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4.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.66Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Moore | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 22.5% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Garrett Moen | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 28.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 22.1% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 21.0% | 45.5% |
| Michael Morley | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Colby Green | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.