← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Carolina1.28+1.66vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.12-0.16vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.26+1.08vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.19+0.61vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-0.88vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.18-1.35vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-2.08+0.10vs Predicted
-
8Wake Forest University-3.30+0.28vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-2.62-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
-
1.84College of Charleston2.120.5%1st Place
-
4.08Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.61North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
-
4.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.65Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.28Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
-
7.66University of North Carolina-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 23.8% | 27.7% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliott Raison | 48.4% | 30.2% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.9% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.6% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 24.3% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 36.6% | 32.0% | 11.7% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 60.9% |
| Sydney Alligood | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 21.4% | 40.1% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.