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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+5.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.65vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+1.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+1.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.29+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+0.73vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-1.40vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.93vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.30+3.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77+1.37vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.61vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-5.30vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-5.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.33vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.43-0.57vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.6College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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14.49Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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16.43Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.61Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 25.8% | 19.8% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 60.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.