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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+4.82vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+4.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.42+7.02vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61-2.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+1.63vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-0.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.18-0.31vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49+0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.31+0.94vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.74-2.68vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.82-4.73vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.97-6.32vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.07-7.47vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of Pennsylvania1.779.9%1st Place
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6.82Cornell University1.798.4%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston1.819.7%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida1.095.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Rhode Island0.421.8%1st Place
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3.86Stanford University2.6121.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University1.999.4%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.1%1st Place
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8.96North Carolina State University1.095.4%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy1.183.9%1st Place
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11.76Roger Williams University0.492.8%1st Place
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12.94University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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12.79Christopher Newport University-0.841.5%1st Place
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11.32University of Washington0.742.9%1st Place
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10.27Jacksonville University0.823.5%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University0.974.2%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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14.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Katie Coughlin | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.1% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ava Farley | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.