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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+3.21vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.12-0.17vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.19+1.73vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26-0.06vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-2.08+1.10vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-3.30+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.62-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.28-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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1.83College of Charleston2.120.5%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.94Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.57Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.32Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.64University of North Carolina-2.620.0%1st Place
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2.65University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Patin | 7.5% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Eliott Raison | 49.2% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 25.9% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.1% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 22.3% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 35.6% | 33.1% | 10.8% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 10.0% | 23.0% | 60.8% |
| Sydney Alligood | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 20.9% | 38.2% | 27.9% |
| David Manley | 23.6% | 28.7% | 22.1% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.