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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.12+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.74vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+0.17vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.08+0.10vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.30+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.62-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76College of Charleston2.120.5%1st Place
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2.74University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.09Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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4.56North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.65Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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8.27Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.66University of North Carolina-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 53.3% | 26.6% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 20.1% | 30.4% | 22.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.1% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 21.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 23.3% | 23.7% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 36.6% | 31.8% | 11.7% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 12.0% | 20.5% | 60.9% |
| Sydney Alligood | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 21.1% | 40.1% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.