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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.12+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.74vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+1.09vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.57vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.19-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-1.78vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-3.30+1.34vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.62-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.08-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77College of Charleston2.120.5%1st Place
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2.74University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.09Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.57Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.56North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.1%1st Place
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8.34Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.64University of North Carolina-2.620.0%1st Place
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7.07University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 52.8% | 27.8% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 20.0% | 30.5% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 23.9% | 9.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.2% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 10.7% | 21.7% | 62.3% |
| Sydney Alligood | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 19.8% | 40.8% | 26.5% |
| Robert Gates | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 37.0% | 31.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.