Race 1B

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Felicity Davies 4.2% 4.1% 5.8% 11.4% 18.2% 23.0% 19.9% 10.3% 3.1%
Katie Hanley 28.0% 30.6% 20.6% 12.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Connolly 21.4% 20.8% 23.1% 18.2% 12.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Mason Baird 31.8% 25.7% 22.1% 12.9% 4.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Gallant 6.2% 8.8% 13.8% 18.1% 20.3% 16.8% 10.1% 4.5% 1.4%
Campbell Tate 4.7% 6.0% 7.9% 15.3% 21.4% 21.8% 14.5% 7.0% 1.4%
Mary Outland 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 4.0% 6.3% 11.5% 21.0% 28.5% 23.5%
Matthias Pietrus 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 3.5% 4.1% 7.4% 13.8% 22.3% 45.3%
Tyler Williams 1.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.9% 7.1% 11.9% 19.1% 27.1% 25.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.