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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.15+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-1.05+2.81vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.62-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+1.45vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.48-2.54vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.32-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-3.12+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68-0.89vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-2.64-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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4.81University of South Carolina-1.050.0%1st Place
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2.33College of Charleston0.620.3%1st Place
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5.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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2.46Clemson University0.480.3%1st Place
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5.09North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.77University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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7.11University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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7.07Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Connolly | 19.9% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallant | 4.7% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 22.5% | 19.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Katie Hanley | 33.1% | 26.5% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Mason Baird | 31.0% | 27.6% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 13.9% | 23.4% | 46.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 20.5% | 26.2% | 24.7% |
| Mary Outland | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 28.4% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.