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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.62+1.49vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.15+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-1.05+2.12vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.48-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.74-1.46vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.32-1.42vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.64-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-3.12-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49College of Charleston0.620.3%1st Place
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3.29Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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5.12University of South Carolina-1.050.1%1st Place
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2.62Clemson University0.480.3%1st Place
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5.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.54University of South Carolina-0.740.1%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.46Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.01University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hanley | 31.2% | 27.0% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 16.7% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallant | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Mason Baird | 27.9% | 25.9% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 7.2% |
| Taylor May | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 12.5% | 3.6% |
| Mary Outland | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 34.9% | 30.9% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 23.0% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.