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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-1.05+3.25vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.15+0.19vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston0.62-1.57vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.32+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.74-1.46vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-2.64+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-3.120.00vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.48-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.25University of South Carolina-1.050.0%1st Place
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3.19Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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2.43College of Charleston0.620.3%1st Place
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5.42North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.54University of South Carolina-0.740.1%1st Place
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7.5Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
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8.0University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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2.7Clemson University0.480.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicity Davies | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 24.7% | 17.4% | 5.6% |
| Thomas Gallant | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Ian Connolly | 20.0% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Hanley | 30.7% | 29.6% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Taylor May | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Mary Outland | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 33.1% | 32.9% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 23.2% | 54.8% |
| Mason Baird | 26.6% | 24.4% | 21.3% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.