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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.48+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-1.05+3.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.62-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.74+0.46vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.15-1.92vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-3.12+2.03vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-2.64+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-2.02vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.32-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Clemson University0.480.3%1st Place
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5.26University of South Carolina-1.050.0%1st Place
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2.52College of Charleston0.620.3%1st Place
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4.46University of South Carolina-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.08Duke University0.150.2%1st Place
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8.03University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
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7.52Wake Forest University-2.640.0%1st Place
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5.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.47North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 26.3% | 26.0% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallant | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Katie Hanley | 31.0% | 24.3% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor May | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Ian Connolly | 20.3% | 23.6% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 22.8% | 55.4% |
| Mary Outland | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 33.9% | 32.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 6.7% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 12.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.