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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+3.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.18+5.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.49+6.56vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.09+3.09vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+2.55vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-4.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-0.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-0.14vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.82-0.72vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.74-0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-1.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.10vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.68-4.21vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.79-9.47vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.31-4.42vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University-0.84-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19University of Pennsylvania1.7710.8%1st Place
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6.09Brown University1.9910.3%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston1.818.5%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy1.184.2%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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9.09North Carolina State University1.094.4%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University1.073.5%1st Place
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3.73Stanford University2.6121.9%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida1.095.5%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.6%1st Place
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10.28Jacksonville University0.823.5%1st Place
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11.44University of Washington0.742.5%1st Place
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11.92University of Rhode Island0.422.6%1st Place
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13.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University0.683.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University1.799.2%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin0.311.7%1st Place
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12.71Christopher Newport University-0.841.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.9% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 25.8% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.