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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+5.94vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+6.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+4.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+2.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-0.56vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-0.35vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-1.40vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-0.55vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.30+3.54vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-2.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.64vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-1.93vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-6.47vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-6.09vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.43-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.6College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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14.54Villanova University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.91Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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16.29Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Billing | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Press | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 23.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 8.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.