Race 1A

2023-florida

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Bannasch 38.5% 26.3% 16.6% 9.8% 4.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Gordon Gurnell 24.3% 23.0% 20.8% 15.1% 8.8% 5.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hudson Jenkins 8.9% 8.8% 13.1% 13.3% 14.8% 16.0% 9.9% 8.1% 5.7% 1.4%
Brandon DePalma 2.3% 5.5% 6.3% 9.2% 9.6% 10.9% 14.9% 16.2% 15.2% 9.9%
Lily Schwartz 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 8.4% 11.1% 13.4% 16.7% 17.6% 10.0%
Niah Ford 6.5% 7.2% 8.1% 10.5% 12.3% 12.0% 14.8% 13.2% 11.5% 3.9%
Hilton Kamps 5.5% 7.0% 10.6% 12.3% 14.9% 13.3% 13.4% 11.6% 8.2% 3.2%
Ava Moring 0.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 3.6% 5.3% 5.6% 8.1% 14.1% 57.1%
Luke Justin 6.7% 9.8% 11.5% 13.7% 14.8% 13.6% 13.1% 8.8% 5.9% 2.1%
Sandra Heilshorn 2.8% 4.6% 4.7% 7.7% 8.4% 9.4% 12.4% 15.9% 21.7% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.