Race 2A

2023-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gordon Gurnell 27.2% 24.8% 18.5% 11.9% 7.5% 5.7% 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Hudson Jenkins 9.0% 8.5% 13.0% 13.9% 15.1% 15.4% 9.2% 8.7% 6.3% 0.9%
Owen Bannasch 34.2% 29.0% 17.8% 11.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 2.8% 4.3% 6.2% 8.2% 9.4% 11.9% 15.0% 15.0% 17.1% 10.1%
Niah Ford 5.6% 8.4% 8.3% 10.0% 10.6% 13.2% 16.1% 12.6% 10.3% 4.9%
Luke Justin 8.4% 9.0% 11.4% 13.1% 15.0% 13.1% 11.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.3%
Brandon DePalma 3.6% 3.6% 6.3% 8.3% 10.3% 12.1% 14.9% 17.0% 14.8% 9.1%
Sandra Heilshorn 2.5% 4.4% 5.3% 8.5% 9.6% 8.5% 11.2% 16.8% 20.4% 12.8%
Hilton Kamps 5.6% 7.1% 11.7% 11.6% 14.3% 13.7% 12.9% 11.0% 8.7% 3.4%
Ava Moring 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.1% 8.7% 15.5% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.