Race 3A

2023-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gordon Gurnell 25.8% 25.2% 17.1% 14.2% 8.6% 4.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Owen Bannasch 36.8% 26.7% 18.6% 10.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 3.5% 4.5% 6.6% 6.8% 9.0% 10.2% 13.8% 16.5% 19.9% 9.2%
Hudson Jenkins 6.2% 10.3% 14.1% 14.0% 16.4% 13.3% 11.6% 8.1% 5.1% 0.9%
Brandon DePalma 4.8% 4.6% 6.3% 8.6% 9.8% 12.1% 12.6% 17.8% 15.1% 8.3%
Hilton Kamps 6.9% 7.9% 10.2% 11.8% 13.3% 14.1% 12.6% 12.1% 8.6% 2.5%
Ava Moring 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 5.2% 9.0% 15.1% 58.8%
Niah Ford 5.3% 6.0% 9.7% 11.4% 12.2% 15.0% 13.2% 12.8% 9.6% 4.8%
Sandra Heilshorn 3.2% 3.5% 5.2% 7.5% 7.9% 11.7% 13.3% 15.0% 19.7% 13.0%
Luke Justin 6.5% 10.5% 11.1% 12.9% 14.9% 13.6% 13.9% 7.7% 6.6% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.