Race 4A

2023-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gordon Gurnell 26.0% 25.9% 15.9% 13.9% 9.1% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Owen Bannasch 38.0% 26.5% 17.1% 10.2% 5.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sandra Heilshorn 2.9% 4.0% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.7% 12.7% 17.5% 21.1% 12.8%
Luke Justin 5.6% 9.4% 12.8% 14.5% 14.1% 14.5% 11.4% 10.2% 5.8% 1.7%
Hilton Kamps 7.5% 7.0% 9.6% 11.3% 13.3% 16.0% 13.3% 10.9% 8.1% 3.0%
Lily Schwartz 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 9.2% 11.6% 13.4% 14.9% 17.1% 11.2%
Hudson Jenkins 7.3% 9.5% 14.8% 13.8% 14.8% 14.2% 11.6% 6.9% 5.4% 1.7%
Brandon DePalma 3.2% 4.9% 7.3% 9.2% 9.2% 11.9% 13.8% 15.8% 15.9% 8.8%
Niah Ford 4.7% 6.4% 9.0% 10.1% 14.2% 12.0% 14.5% 14.4% 10.4% 4.3%
Ava Moring 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 4.3% 5.7% 8.5% 15.6% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.