Race 5A

2023-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hudson Jenkins 9.8% 10.4% 13.7% 12.7% 14.5% 12.5% 11.0% 9.4% 4.6% 1.4%
Owen Bannasch 37.9% 25.5% 18.6% 9.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Gurnell 23.1% 26.4% 17.7% 16.3% 8.8% 4.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 5.6% 6.7% 10.9% 12.3% 13.5% 14.8% 13.8% 10.8% 8.8% 2.8%
Luke Justin 7.9% 9.6% 10.2% 13.3% 14.8% 15.4% 12.1% 8.5% 6.0% 2.2%
Brandon DePalma 4.3% 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 9.0% 11.8% 14.0% 14.5% 17.0% 10.4%
Lily Schwartz 2.8% 3.6% 6.2% 8.4% 8.9% 13.2% 14.7% 16.6% 15.4% 10.2%
Sandra Heilshorn 2.6% 4.1% 6.0% 7.3% 10.0% 8.6% 11.7% 15.2% 21.9% 12.6%
Niah Ford 5.2% 6.6% 8.8% 10.5% 12.7% 12.6% 14.3% 14.5% 10.2% 4.6%
Ava Moring 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 5.8% 9.4% 15.9% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.