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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.37vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+1.61vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.01+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.61+3.10vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30-0.23vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.32+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.88+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.52-1.44vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-1.68vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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3.61Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.67Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.77Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.29Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.32Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.2Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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5.72University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 37.5% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.0% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Marco Distel | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 11.4% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 47.7% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.