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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+7.99vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.84+10.64vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+6.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+2.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85+1.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.54vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.75vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-5.21vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.74+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.31+0.63vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.82-2.87vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-2.21vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.68-4.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.07vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.42-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99North Carolina State University1.094.1%1st Place
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12.64Christopher Newport University-0.842.1%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University1.073.5%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston1.819.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University1.858.3%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy1.184.1%1st Place
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6.57Cornell University1.799.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Pennsylvania1.778.5%1st Place
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3.79Stanford University2.6123.1%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida1.095.8%1st Place
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11.31University of Washington0.742.7%1st Place
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12.63University of Wisconsin0.311.9%1st Place
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10.13Jacksonville University0.823.9%1st Place
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11.79Roger Williams University0.493.3%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University0.682.9%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.0%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Rhode Island0.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 23.1% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Megan Geith | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 25.9% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.