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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.38vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+1.58vs Predicted
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3Florida State University-0.32+3.39vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.01+1.69vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.61+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.52-0.47vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-0.91vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.88-1.36vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.39Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.69Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.81Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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7.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.21Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 37.5% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.8% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| Marco Distel | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 48.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.