← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.85+2.67vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College-0.01+3.48vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University-0.32+3.43vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.30+0.94vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.61+1.93vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.61-3.62vs Predicted
-
7University of Central Florida-0.52-0.47vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-0.83vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-1.76+0.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-0.88-2.57vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida-0.19-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.67Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
-
5.48Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.43Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
-
4.94Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
-
6.93University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
-
2.38Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
-
6.53University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.17Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.29Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.0% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 8.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 38.1% | 26.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 50.9% |
| Marco Distel | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.