← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.61+1.34vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.85+1.60vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.30+1.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami-0.61+3.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Central Florida-0.52+1.64vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College-0.01-0.47vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University-0.32-0.97vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-0.88-0.62vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-1.74vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida-0.19-4.24vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.34Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
-
3.6Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
-
4.95Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
-
7.08University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.64University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.53Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.03Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
-
7.38University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
-
7.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.76University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
-
9.44Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 36.7% | 26.7% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.9% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McGeough | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Marco Distel | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 12.5% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 11.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.