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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.85+2.67vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+0.34vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.75+4.33vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.61+3.06vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida-0.52+0.71vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.01-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.88-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.19-3.03vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.32-3.93vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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2.34Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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7.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.8Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.3Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.97University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.07Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
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9.41Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.3% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 38.0% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 8.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Marco Distel | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Tia Schoening | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.