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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.37vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.75+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.61+4.03vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.30+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.52+1.69vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.32+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.88+0.32vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.85-4.47vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.01-3.46vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.19-4.21vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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7.21Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.86Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.25Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.53Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.54Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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9.41Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 36.5% | 25.1% | 18.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Jackson McGeough | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Marco Distel | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 11.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 18.0% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.