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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.33vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+1.56vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.30+1.89vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.01+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.52+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88+1.52vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.32-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.19-2.26vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-1.05vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.61-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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3.56Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.89Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.61Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.0Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.74University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.95Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.14Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 38.3% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.2% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 6.4% |
| Marco Distel | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 13.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| William Mullray | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 19.5% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 46.0% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.