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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.85+2.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.30+1.87vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.01+1.60vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+2.87vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.61-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.52-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.19-3.06vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.89vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-0.32-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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2.31Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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4.87Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.6Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.87Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Miami-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.94University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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9.11Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.0Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.3% | 21.4% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 39.5% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| William Mullray | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| Marco Distel | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| Danielle Ketner | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 6.3% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 43.8% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.