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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.37vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.85+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.61+3.99vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.52+2.82vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.01+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88+1.52vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.32-0.97vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.30-3.34vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.76+0.19vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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3.56Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.42Eckerd College-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.03Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.66Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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9.19Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.75Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.7University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 35.9% | 26.9% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.3% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Ketner | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 6.4% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Marco Distel | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 47.4% |
| William Mullray | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 14.6% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.