Race 1A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brian Fox 7.6% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 9.9% 9.2% 12.2% 9.5% 9.4% 8.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 15.6% 15.7% 15.1% 12.9% 11.6% 8.9% 8.2% 4.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 4.9% 6.1% 8.2% 14.5% 18.2% 36.6% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 14.5% 13.8% 13.1% 11.8% 10.9% 10.8% 9.5% 6.9% 4.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 11.1% 10.3% 11.2% 7.5% 4.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 13.0% 13.1% 12.0% 12.8% 11.5% 9.1% 9.0% 7.4% 7.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
matthew Monts 11.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.3% 10.8% 8.6% 12.1% 9.7% 6.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Parker Younger 2.2% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.9% 5.6% 8.4% 11.8% 14.0% 20.8% 20.2% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.6% 7.3% 7.9% 12.7% 17.0% 17.4% 14.8% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 9.7% 9.3% 9.0% 10.5% 11.1% 10.8% 9.6% 9.5% 8.3% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Larson 11.8% 13.1% 12.3% 10.9% 12.4% 11.9% 8.0% 8.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 1.7% 3.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.5% 6.0% 5.7% 7.1% 8.7% 14.4% 16.0% 15.3% 11.7% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 4.9% 6.1% 8.2% 14.5% 18.2% 36.6% 0.0%
Laura Smith 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 4.1% 6.4% 6.4% 9.1% 13.5% 16.9% 17.1% 14.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.