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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.04vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+5.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+4.65vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.07vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+6.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+4.66vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+1.96vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+1.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-5.44vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.16+2.67vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-5.15vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-2.38vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-4.87vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-6.30vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.77-5.32vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Georgetown University2.207.5%1st Place
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7.08Tulane University2.027.5%1st Place
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4.26Yale University2.4218.1%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.2%1st Place
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12.54Fordham University1.131.9%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University0.932.1%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College1.513.9%1st Place
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10.12Boston University1.143.4%1st Place
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4.56Dartmouth College2.7516.2%1st Place
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13.67Northwestern University0.161.3%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.097.8%1st Place
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10.62University of Hawaii0.993.6%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.3%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.9%1st Place
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11.68Florida State University0.772.1%1st Place
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14.76University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.1% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bray | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.