Race 3A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Mraz 17.1% 14.2% 14.7% 13.2% 10.5% 11.4% 5.8% 6.1% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 14.0% 15.2% 12.5% 12.3% 11.1% 10.2% 8.8% 7.2% 4.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 12.1% 13.4% 12.4% 11.8% 10.9% 9.9% 9.6% 7.8% 6.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larson 12.3% 10.9% 11.8% 12.3% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 10.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 8.6% 10.1% 10.9% 9.8% 8.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.5% 5.1% 10.3% 14.1% 17.7% 34.9% 0.0%
Brian Fox 9.4% 9.7% 8.3% 7.8% 9.2% 10.5% 10.2% 10.4% 10.4% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
matthew Monts 8.5% 9.7% 9.1% 8.5% 9.9% 10.6% 11.3% 10.7% 10.4% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Laura Smith 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 5.3% 5.8% 9.7% 12.4% 15.8% 16.9% 16.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.2% 7.3% 8.2% 9.5% 10.3% 10.2% 8.9% 9.7% 9.9% 8.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 6.0% 4.6% 6.3% 8.0% 10.2% 14.0% 15.3% 14.3% 9.2% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.4% 6.9% 13.0% 16.6% 19.2% 15.1% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.5% 5.1% 10.3% 14.1% 17.7% 34.9% 0.0%
Parker Younger 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.4% 7.7% 11.6% 14.9% 22.0% 21.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.