Race 5A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Larson 12.1% 11.3% 11.5% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 9.0% 8.2% 7.8% 3.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 11.6% 13.5% 11.9% 12.8% 11.6% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 6.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 16.1% 15.6% 13.3% 12.3% 12.0% 10.6% 6.5% 6.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 14.6% 14.2% 12.5% 14.2% 8.9% 10.5% 9.5% 6.9% 3.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.1% 11.0% 8.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Brian Fox 8.2% 8.6% 9.1% 10.3% 8.7% 9.8% 11.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.0% 5.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
matthew Monts 10.2% 9.1% 9.4% 8.0% 10.1% 9.4% 10.5% 10.6% 9.7% 7.0% 3.4% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Smith 2.0% 3.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.7% 6.0% 7.2% 8.8% 13.2% 16.2% 19.0% 11.7% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 1.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.9% 13.8% 19.2% 36.9% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 1.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.9% 13.8% 19.2% 36.9% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.4% 6.9% 9.2% 8.2% 11.4% 9.6% 9.4% 8.8% 9.9% 8.6% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 4.9% 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 8.1% 12.0% 14.0% 14.1% 13.1% 10.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 4.1% 5.1% 5.4% 5.7% 7.5% 13.3% 16.3% 16.6% 17.2% 0.0%
Parker Younger 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 1.7% 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 6.0% 7.1% 12.1% 15.8% 22.0% 20.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.