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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+3.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+3.04vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+2.72vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.70+1.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.22-0.53vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.630.00vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24+3.59vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37+1.41vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.11+1.03vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-3.76vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.34-1.70vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.24-1.41vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.51-3.82vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.11-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.04North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.72Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.88Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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6.0Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.59Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.41Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.03Old Dominion University0.110.0%1st Place
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6.24Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.3Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.59Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.18Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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4.91Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 17.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Younger | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Almany | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 10.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.