Race 8A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Larson 11.9% 12.2% 10.5% 12.7% 10.1% 11.0% 10.2% 7.7% 6.1% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 15.5% 16.6% 14.4% 12.6% 10.9% 9.6% 6.6% 7.6% 3.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
matthew Monts 7.7% 8.5% 10.3% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 9.5% 10.8% 10.1% 6.2% 4.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 13.2% 12.4% 12.0% 12.4% 10.2% 10.4% 10.0% 8.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 16.1% 13.0% 14.3% 10.9% 11.6% 9.0% 10.2% 5.7% 4.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.1% 8.7% 10.2% 9.0% 12.1% 9.5% 7.3% 6.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 10.6% 10.2% 9.3% 8.3% 10.6% 10.6% 10.8% 9.7% 8.5% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Younger 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 4.0% 5.6% 7.7% 12.5% 14.2% 21.7% 20.0% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 4.0% 5.0% 7.7% 12.4% 20.7% 35.8% 0.0%
Brian Fox 8.8% 7.8% 8.4% 10.1% 10.6% 9.1% 10.4% 7.8% 10.5% 8.1% 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Laura Smith 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 4.6% 5.6% 5.0% 7.0% 11.3% 14.2% 14.7% 15.2% 12.2% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 1.4% 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 5.6% 6.1% 7.7% 11.7% 17.5% 16.0% 17.3% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 6.0% 7.7% 10.7% 13.3% 15.7% 15.5% 11.9% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 4.0% 5.0% 7.7% 12.4% 20.7% 35.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.