Race 9A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stewart Gurnell 13.5% 11.4% 13.0% 12.1% 11.2% 9.7% 9.5% 8.4% 5.3% 3.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 15.6% 12.2% 14.0% 11.8% 11.5% 10.0% 8.2% 6.5% 5.7% 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Fox 6.1% 9.4% 8.9% 10.0% 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 12.3% 10.9% 8.0% 3.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.4% 7.2% 8.2% 9.5% 8.7% 10.5% 9.7% 10.1% 11.0% 7.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 10.3% 9.4% 10.2% 10.1% 10.3% 9.7% 10.3% 11.1% 7.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
matthew Monts 8.8% 9.4% 8.4% 10.2% 9.6% 10.1% 12.4% 7.7% 8.6% 7.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.3% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 6.3% 8.4% 12.7% 16.2% 18.4% 13.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 17.3% 14.9% 12.9% 13.1% 11.4% 10.5% 8.7% 5.4% 2.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Smith 1.8% 3.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 7.8% 9.3% 11.5% 16.8% 16.2% 15.4% 0.0%
Parker Younger 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 2.2% 4.4% 5.6% 7.9% 12.2% 14.5% 20.0% 21.0% 0.0%
Adam Larson 11.7% 13.8% 12.5% 10.1% 11.0% 11.9% 9.3% 7.2% 5.6% 3.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 0.7% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.9% 5.6% 8.3% 12.5% 19.5% 36.9% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 0.7% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.9% 5.6% 8.3% 12.5% 19.5% 36.9% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 5.6% 7.7% 11.8% 13.3% 14.9% 16.2% 11.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.