Race 11A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stewart Gurnell 13.9% 11.9% 13.7% 10.3% 12.2% 9.5% 10.3% 7.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Larson 11.9% 11.1% 10.7% 12.4% 11.8% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 6.5% 5.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 14.0% 13.6% 14.0% 11.7% 11.7% 10.9% 8.4% 6.7% 4.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.4% 7.5% 7.5% 11.2% 7.9% 9.3% 10.5% 11.1% 9.4% 8.8% 5.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 16.8% 17.0% 13.9% 10.5% 10.9% 10.5% 7.6% 5.9% 3.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
matthew Monts 8.6% 9.7% 8.1% 12.2% 8.9% 10.4% 11.0% 8.7% 8.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Fox 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 9.2% 9.1% 10.5% 10.6% 9.0% 10.9% 6.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 9.4% 9.7% 10.6% 9.4% 9.8% 10.9% 11.4% 10.3% 7.6% 6.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 4.3% 5.2% 7.3% 9.2% 13.7% 16.5% 15.2% 12.0% 0.0%
Laura Smith 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 6.7% 10.6% 12.5% 16.5% 15.6% 14.9% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 5.0% 4.5% 5.1% 7.6% 10.6% 13.8% 14.2% 17.6% 11.8% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 4.9% 5.7% 7.8% 13.3% 19.4% 36.5% 0.0%
Parker Younger 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 3.6% 6.0% 8.3% 9.8% 16.4% 20.6% 22.5% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 4.9% 5.7% 7.8% 13.3% 19.4% 36.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.