Race 12A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Mraz 16.8% 15.8% 13.0% 12.2% 12.6% 8.5% 8.6% 5.1% 3.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larson 11.2% 12.2% 11.0% 12.9% 10.1% 10.4% 9.3% 9.1% 6.9% 3.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 12.4% 13.0% 12.4% 12.8% 10.3% 10.9% 8.8% 7.4% 5.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 15.2% 12.0% 14.0% 13.0% 10.9% 9.5% 9.1% 7.4% 4.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 3.1% 3.0% 2.6% 4.3% 4.5% 5.3% 5.4% 6.8% 11.4% 12.7% 16.3% 14.6% 10.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.3% 7.4% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 11.1% 9.6% 10.3% 9.5% 7.4% 6.2% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 10.1% 10.6% 9.9% 8.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 5.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
matthew Monts 8.1% 10.3% 9.1% 8.5% 10.5% 10.1% 10.5% 11.1% 10.3% 4.9% 4.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Parker Younger 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 4.1% 4.4% 7.6% 11.4% 14.8% 18.7% 24.2% 0.0%
Brian Fox 8.6% 7.8% 9.9% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 8.8% 4.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 2.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 7.2% 9.9% 13.9% 15.9% 15.6% 12.5% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 3.0% 4.5% 5.8% 8.1% 11.3% 21.9% 36.3% 0.0%
Laura Smith 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 6.2% 8.7% 7.6% 13.2% 16.1% 18.1% 14.4% 0.0%
Joshua Almany 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 3.0% 4.5% 5.8% 8.1% 11.3% 21.9% 36.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.