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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.51+9.17vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+3.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.85vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+4.91vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+1.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+1.76vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-3.59vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.17vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14+0.23vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.12vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.99-1.51vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-0.64vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-4.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-3.47vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.77-4.37vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.16-3.26vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17Bowdoin College1.513.3%1st Place
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4.5Dartmouth College2.7517.8%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.098.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.6%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.223.1%1st Place
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7.24Tulane University2.027.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.105.5%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.4216.7%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University2.207.5%1st Place
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10.23Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.6%1st Place
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10.49University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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12.36Fordham University1.131.9%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.5%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University0.932.1%1st Place
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11.63Florida State University0.772.4%1st Place
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13.74Northwestern University0.161.7%1st Place
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14.59University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Grace Bray | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.