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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+4.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+3.61vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+5.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.25vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.29+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+0.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.88vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-0.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.66vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-3.95vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.44vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.34+0.16vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-4.29vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.77-2.73vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.71-7.21vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.43-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.34Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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14.16Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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10.71Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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16.27Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Billing | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Price | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 23.6% | 19.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 10.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.