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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+4.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+3.80vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+1.97vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.43+7.84vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+1.71vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.74-1.84vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-1.07vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.15+0.64vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.00-2.68vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.12-4.12vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79-4.34vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.11-2.55vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.16vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.21-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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11.84Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.71Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.16Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.93Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.64Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.88Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.66Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.45Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.84Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.67Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 13.5% | 65.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.7% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 13.5% | 65.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.