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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+4.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+3.01vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+3.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74+0.24vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.12+0.80vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+0.75vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.08-1.10vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.15+0.60vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21-0.43vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.43+1.74vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.11-1.84vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.00-5.57vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.79-6.01vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.07Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.24Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.8Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.75Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.9Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.6Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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8.57Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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11.74Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.16Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.99Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.74Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.