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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.00+5.20vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+3.94vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+3.90vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+0.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.69vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.74-1.79vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21+1.32vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08-2.01vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.11+0.33vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-3.13vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-5.17vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.15-3.20vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.06vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.94Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.9Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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4.21Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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8.32Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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5.99Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.33Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.87Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.83Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.8Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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11.94Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.94Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.2% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.