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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+4.74vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.74+2.24vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.00+3.28vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.12+1.94vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+1.69vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79+0.79vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-1.06vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46-3.07vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21-0.42vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.15-1.40vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.11-1.84vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.08-5.81vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.07vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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4.24Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.28Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.94Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.69Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.79Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.94Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.93North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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8.58Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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8.6Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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9.16Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.19Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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11.93Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.93Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.6% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 67.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 67.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.