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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+4.97vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.74+2.22vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+1.99vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.11+5.38vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08+0.99vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12-0.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-0.81vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-1.15vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.43+2.79vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.21-1.51vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81-4.44vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.15-3.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.17-7.12vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.22Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.99North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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9.38Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.99Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.85Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.79Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.49Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.56Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.83Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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11.79Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 11.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.