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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+3.98vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08+4.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+2.79vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.21+4.54vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00+1.17vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.15+2.60vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81-0.26vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.12-2.07vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.43+2.74vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-3.12vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08-5.15vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.11-2.52vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.26vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.74-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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8.54Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.6Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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6.74Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.93Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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11.74Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.88Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.85Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.48Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.74Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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4.26Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.