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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.74+3.22vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+2.98vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+3.86vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08+2.00vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.15+3.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.17-0.35vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-0.84vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.11+1.30vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.08-2.88vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.12-4.13vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.21-2.66vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79-4.99vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.08vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.98North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.86Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.0Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.55Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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6.16Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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9.3Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.12Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.87Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.34Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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7.01Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.92Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.92Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 25.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.