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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+4.79vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08+4.03vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+2.01vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74+0.23vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.21+3.36vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-0.08vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.12-1.15vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.11+1.28vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.00-2.64vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.15-1.39vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81-4.38vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79-4.98vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.08vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.23Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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8.36Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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5.92Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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9.28Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.36Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.61Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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6.62Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.02Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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11.92Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.92Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 16.1% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 24.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.