← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.45+5.95vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+5.37vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.23+4.75vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.87+4.88vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.51+1.46vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.18+1.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.93+1.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.77+5.01vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.29-1.76vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.94vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.29-3.58vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.02vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.81-3.95vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.20-6.57vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.74-5.51vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.34-1.53vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University0.43-0.54vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University2.43-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.95Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
7.75Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.88Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.77Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.74University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
13.01University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.24Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
11.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
-
7.42Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.05Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.43College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.49Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
14.47Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
-
16.46Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.59Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Coupland | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 8.1% |
| Emily Billing | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Price | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 26.1% | 18.5% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 15.6% | 60.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.