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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.83vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+3.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+5.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.76vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+3.12vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.77+3.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-1.89vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-0.95vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-7.31vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-2.50vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.85vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-3.51vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-2.38vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Georgetown University2.208.2%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.105.2%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.7%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University2.027.8%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College1.513.8%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.4218.6%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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11.65Florida State University0.772.2%1st Place
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7.11Boston College2.097.4%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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10.05Boston University1.143.1%1st Place
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4.69Dartmouth College2.7514.3%1st Place
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10.5University of Hawaii0.993.1%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.9%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University0.933.1%1st Place
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12.53Fordham University1.131.8%1st Place
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14.62University of Vermont-0.130.7%1st Place
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13.59Northwestern University0.161.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.6% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 36.4% |
| Grace Bray | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.