Race 10B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Isabella du Plessis 12.7% 12.7% 12.9% 11.1% 10.3% 9.3% 9.0% 8.4% 4.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 9.1% 10.9% 9.0% 10.1% 11.3% 9.5% 9.2% 8.7% 7.1% 7.1% 4.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 7.4% 8.2% 9.6% 9.3% 8.9% 8.5% 9.6% 10.0% 9.8% 8.5% 5.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 9.4% 8.2% 8.6% 10.8% 9.4% 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 7.0% 6.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Asher Green 10.4% 9.0% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 8.5% 9.1% 10.2% 7.9% 7.7% 5.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 7.4% 6.8% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 10.2% 9.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.0%
Tyler Brown 18.4% 15.1% 15.1% 13.0% 9.1% 9.0% 6.6% 4.9% 4.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Kelly 3.3% 4.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 8.3% 9.0% 11.2% 14.1% 17.3% 7.5% 0.0%
Griffin Richardson 9.1% 9.4% 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 9.2% 8.5% 7.5% 8.3% 5.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 4.8% 3.9% 3.9% 3.8% 6.0% 5.6% 7.3% 7.1% 10.4% 9.2% 14.8% 15.1% 8.1% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 16.9% 61.0% 0.0%
Richard Kertatos 2.0% 3.4% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% 7.8% 9.8% 14.3% 21.0% 15.6% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 5.3% 7.2% 8.2% 6.0% 7.4% 10.1% 8.7% 7.5% 10.9% 9.8% 11.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Matt Averyt 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 16.9% 61.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.