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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+5.79vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+4.86vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.74+1.25vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+2.24vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.12+0.81vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-0.05vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46-2.08vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-2.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.17-3.16vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.11-0.68vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.21-2.65vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.15-3.23vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.09vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.86Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.25Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.24Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.81Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.95Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.92North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.98Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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9.32Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.35Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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8.77Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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11.91Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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11.91Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 66.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 66.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.