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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.74+3.24vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+3.92vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+3.88vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+2.05vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08+0.87vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46-1.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00-0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.17-2.29vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.43+2.75vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.21-1.54vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.11-1.84vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.15-3.18vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.25vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.92Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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6.88Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.05Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.87Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.93North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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11.75Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.46Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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9.16Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.82Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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11.75Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.05Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 18.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.